Settlements in brief: private sector median unchanged at 2.5%

Our latest pay settlement analysis shows the private sector median is unchanged at 2.5% in the three months to the end of August. Meanwhile the whole economy median has fallen from 2.4% in July to 2% in August, owing to the inclusion of some lower-level awards in the not-for-profit and public sectors. Continue reading Settlements in brief: private sector median unchanged at 2.5%

Settlements rise to 2.4%, highest level so far in 2017

According to the latest monitoring figures from IDR, the median pay settlement across the economy rose to 2.4% in the three months to July. This is the highest we have recorded so far in 2017, up from 2% in the previous three rolling periods. The latest figures are based on 75 pay settlements, mostly at organisations in the private sector.

For the full article see http://www.incomesdataresearch.co.uk/subscribers-2/idr-pay-settlement-levels/

Settlements in brief: median at 2% for May

Our latest analysis of pay settlements shows the median falling back to 2% in May. However the interquartile range, where half of awards are set, remains at between 1% and 2.8%. This partly reflects a wide range of pay outcomes, with increases monitored in the latest period ranging from a pay freeze to 10.5%. The analysis is based on 130 pay settlements monitored by IDR in the three months to the end of May.

Pay settlement data - three months to end of May 2017
Whole economyPrivate sector
Median2.0%2.4%
Average2.2%2.5%
Interquartile range1.0 to 2.8%1.9 to 2.9%
Based on 130 settlements covering 3.3M employees in total.

The median had risen to 2.4% in the three months to the end of April, under the influence of more awards worth 3% and above. Many of these were aimed at bringing lowest pay rates in line with the new National Minimum and National Living Wages. Indeed a closer look at private sector awards in the latest period shows that the median here is still at 2.4%.

Our next full quarterly analysis will be in Pay Climate, release date Thursday 7 September.

Forecasters think inflation could rise to just below 4% by autumn

Inflation could rise to just below 4% on the all-items RPI measure by the autumn, according to our panel of City economists. Thereafter it could fall, but slowly. This assessment is based on our rounded average of the predictions from eight forecasters. The panel divides evenly between those who see RPI reaching 4% and those who think it is unlikely to rise this far. The main point of difference is based on whether the upward pressure on import prices from sterling’s previous depreciation, following the vote to leave the EU, have mainly worked through, or whether most of these effects remain to be felt. Continue reading Forecasters think inflation could rise to just below 4% by autumn

IDR survey: progress on gender pay reporting

Legislation requiring firms with at least 250 employees to publish their gender pay statistics came into force on 6 April 2017. IDR conducted a survey of subscribers asking what progress organisations have already made in calculating and publishing the relevant statistics. The results show that just under half have calculated the figures while around a third plan to publish their statistics before the formal due date in April 2018. Continue reading IDR survey: progress on gender pay reporting

Nuclear construction pay agreement

In this case study we look at the pay agreement covering the civil engineering works currently being undertaken to construct the nuclear power station at Hinkley Point in Somerset, work on which began properly in March. The pay structure’s guiding principle is progression via the acquisition of skills, and as such, may be a model for pay systems in other parts of the economy. Continue reading Nuclear construction pay agreement