The latest instalment in the debate over which inflation indicator is the most appropriate for uprating benefits such as pensions took place in the High Court in January. The case, brought by telecoms firm BT, was that the company should be allowed to change provisions for uprating pension payments from the Retail Prices Index (RPI) to the Consumer Prices Index (CPI), on the basis that the former had ‘become inappropriate’, according to the rules of the scheme. The case has implications for setting pay as well as pensions.
According to our most recent detailed quarterly analysis, the median pay award across the whole economy was 2% in the three months to October 2017, according to the latest monitoring figures from IDR. See the full quarterly analysis here.
The Budget on 22 November sparked a debate over the prospects for wage growth over the coming period. The Bank of England is on one side, while on the other stand the government’s Office for Budgetary Responsibility (OBR) and the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS).
Earlier, in announcing its decision to raise interest rates marginally on 2 November, the Bank argued that while pay increases are currently subdued – mostly because employment has been growing in lower-paid occupations and industries – it expected earnings growth to strengthen during 2018. This will occur, the Bank said, ‘as the tightening labour market starts to put more widespread upward pressure on wage demands’. Continue reading Viewpoint: ‘There are bad times just around the corner…’
Our latest analysis of pay review outcomes shows the whole-economy median remains steady at 2% but the median for awards in private services has increased to 2.6%. This is based on 90 pay awards monitored by IDR in the three months to the end of September.
Our latest pay settlement analysis shows the private sector median is unchanged at 2.5% in the three months to the end of August. Meanwhile the whole economy median has fallen from 2.4% in July to 2% in August, owing to the inclusion of some lower-level awards in the not-for-profit and public sectors. Continue reading Settlements in brief: private sector median unchanged at 2.5%
According to the latest monitoring figures from IDR, the median pay settlement across the economy rose to 2.4% in the three months to July. This is the highest we have recorded so far in 2017, up from 2% in the previous three rolling periods. The latest figures are based on 75 pay settlements, mostly at organisations in the private sector.
For the full article see http://www.incomesdataresearch.co.uk/subscribers-2/idr-pay-settlement-levels/
Our latest analysis of pay settlements shows the median falling back to 2% in May. However the interquartile range, where half of awards are set, remains at between 1% and 2.8%. This partly reflects a wide range of pay outcomes, with increases monitored in the latest period ranging from a pay freeze to 10.5%. The analysis is based on 130 pay settlements monitored by IDR in the three months to the end of May.
|Pay settlement data - three months to end of May 2017|
|Whole economy||Private sector|
|Interquartile range||1.0 to 2.8%||1.9 to 2.9%|
|Based on 130 settlements covering 3.3M employees in total.|
The median had risen to 2.4% in the three months to the end of April, under the influence of more awards worth 3% and above. Many of these were aimed at bringing lowest pay rates in line with the new National Minimum and National Living Wages. Indeed a closer look at private sector awards in the latest period shows that the median here is still at 2.4%.
Our next full quarterly analysis will be in Pay Climate, release date Thursday 7 September.
The latest settlements analysis from IDR shows the median steady at 2% in March, based on 71 settlements monitored in the three-months to the end of March.
Average weekly earnings rose by 2.3% in the year to February, the same as in the year to January. Previously the ONS put the January figure at 2.2%, but this has been revised up to 2.3% in the latest figures. Looking back at the rate of growth in earnings over the past ten months we can see the rate has been fairly steady at around 2.4 to 2.5%. All these figures are for total earnings, across the whole economy, which include bonuses. Continue reading Earnings growth remains steady at 2.3% in February
The latest settlements analysis from IDR shows the median remaining at 2% in February, based on 59 settlements monitored in the three-months to the end of February.